PL

Updated ‘2020 Strategy’ strategic plan

Due to the accomplishment of a part of objectives to be implemented as part of the strategy for 2015-2020 and measures aiming at the consolidation of smaller business units within the Aluminium Systems Segment, the Management Board of Grupa Kęty S.A. decided to develop and submit to the Company’s Supervisory Board an updated strategy for 2015-2020 (‘2020 Strategy’). In relation to the approval of its basic objectives at the Supervisory Board meeting held on 7 February 2017, the Management Board presents the following information:

The Strategy objectives:

The basic objective of ‘2020 Strategy’ is ensuring steady increase in shareholder value owing to:

  • sustainable development resulting in the systematic increase in generated profit and cash;
  • stable dividend policy;
  • creating the potential for future development in further periods;
  • maintaining high corporate governance standards.

Operating and macroeconomic objectives:

On the basis of adopted assumption concerning the prices of raw materials and exchange rates, particular segments forecast the following sales revenue:

  • Extruded Products Segment – 1,444 million PLN (+53% as compared to 2016)
  • Aluminium Systems Segment – 1,420 million PLN (+32% as compared to 2016)
  • Flexible Packaging Segment – 665 million PLN (+34% as compared to 2016)

Taking the above into consideration, consolidated sales revenue of the Group in 2020 should amount to 3,257 million PLN (+44% as compared to 2016), operating profit to 359 million PLN (+24% as compared to 2016), EBITDA to 506 million PLN (+28% as compared to 2016) and consolidated net profit to 265 million PLN (-4% as compared to 2016).

The above forecasts have been prepared on the basis of the following macroeconomic assumptions:

  • average aluminium price (3M) – 1,800 USD/tonne
  • average USD exchange rate − 4.05 PLN
  • average EUR exchange rate – 4.30 PLN
  • EUR/USD relation − 1.06
  • GDP growth in Poland – 3.4%

Changes in the management structure:

The Management Board of Grupa Kęty S.A. intends to take measures to separate the production activities of the Extruded Products Segment from the structures of Grupa Kęty S.A. Grupa Kęty S.A. would remain the holding company listed on Warsaw Stock Exchange with assets in the form of shares and interests in leading companies in each segment.

Investment plan:

The Management Board assumes that, in the period covered by this strategy (taking into account the expenses incurred to date from the beginning of the implementation of the strategy, i.e. from 2015), the capital expenditure will amount to ca. 1,246 million PLN (+316 million PLN as compared to the 2015 strategy and the total of 787 million PLN of spending in 2017-2020), including:

  • Extruded Products Segment – 550 million PLN
  • Aluminium Systems Segment – 393 million PLN
  • Flexible Packaging Segment – 257 million PLN

This forecast does not comprise any possible additional expenditure on acquisitions, whose effects are also not included in the forecast of sale and results.

Dividend policy:

The dividend policy adopted by the Supervisory Board of Grupa Kęty S.A. provides for the payment of dividend amounting to 60%-100% of consolidated net profit of Grupa Kęty S.A. during the implementation period of ‘2020 Strategy’. The Management Board assumes that the payment of dividend during the implementation period of ‘2020 Strategy’ strategic plan will amount on average to 80% of consolidated net profit of Grupa Kęty S.A.

The Management Board, when determining the recommended dividend, will take into account, among other things:

  • the Group’s net debt to EBITDA ratio calculated as at the last balance sheet date of the previous financial year with the maximum level of 2.0;
  • time shifts of dividends received from subsidiaries affecting the maximum level of recommended dividend;
  • the value of potential and feasible acquisitions;
  • the value of actual capital expenditure to be made in the year of dividend payment.

Potential acquisitions:

The forecasts until 2020 do not take into account any effects of potential acquisition projects. Nevertheless, the Management Board takes into account two directions of potential acquisitions within existing segments and the establishment of a new segment:

  1. In the Extruded Products Segment – they may be related to the development of existing competences or the acquisitions of new competences in the area of profiles processing and the production of components based on aluminium profiles. Potential projects may be related to entities with sales revenue of up to 50 million EUR.
  2. In the Aluminium Systems Segment – they may be related to the geographic or product-related development on new markets. Potential projects may be related to entities with sales revenue of up to 20 million EUR.
  3. A new segment with the potential enabling the generation of sales revenue in 2020 at the minimum level of 200 million PLN.

Debt:

In relation to the investment programme being implemented and the planned payment of dividend, the Group’s debt will rise to ca. 820 million PLN at the end of 2018 (ca. 762 million PLN in net terms) and ca. 801 million PLN at the end of 2020 (ca. 682 million PLN in net terms).

Uncertainty risk and the frequency of the evaluation of the strategy accomplishment degree:

These strategy objectives, including the forecasts of future revenue and profits, have been established on the basis of a number of assumptions, expectations and projections and, as a result, are subject to uncertainty risk and may change due to both external and internal factors. The Company will assess the possibility of the implementation of ‘2020 Strategy’ and make any possible adjustments on an annual basis.